2008 Society of Government Economists (SGE) Conference
Health Care, Aging, and Future Policy Challenges
Monday, June 2, 2008
9:00 AM - 4:30 PM
Bureau of Labor Statistics Conference Center
2 Massachusetts Ave., NE
Washington, DC
Conference Program
Click Here for Conference Program Details
(Click on links below to papers and slides)
8:30-8:50 Registration and Continental Breakfast
8:50-9:00 Welcome
Opening Remarks
9:00-9:45 Keynote Speech
David Walker, President and CEO, Peterson Foundation
“Restoring Fiscal and Retirement Security”
10:00-11:30 AM Concurrent Research Sessions
National Health Expenditures (Room 1)
Chair: Aaron Catlin, Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services
National Health Spending In 2006: A Year Of Change For Prescription Drugs
• Anne Martin, Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services
U.S. Health Spending By Age, Selected Years Through 2004
• Micah Hartman, Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services
Health Sending By State Of Residence, 1991–2004
• Lekha Whittle, Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services
Health Spending Projections Through 2017:The Baby Boom Generation is Coming to Medicare
• Sean Keehan, Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services
Discussants: Rachel Schmidt, MEDPAC
Susan Dentzer, Health Affairs
Mobility, Volatility and Inequality: Connecting the Concepts (Room 2)
Chair: Jonathan Schwabish, Congressional Budget Office
Income Mobility in the U.S. from 1996 to 2005 (Paper)
• Gerald Auten, U.S. Department of the Treasury
Measuring Trends in Income Volatility
• Austin Nichols, The Urban Institute
• Seth Zimmerman, The Urban Institute
The Increasing Dispersion of Wage Rates: Where Are We in Identifying and Accounting for the Causes?
• Nabeel Alsalam, Congressional Budget Office
Discussant: Isabel Sawhill, Brookings Institution
Energy Consumptionand the U.S. Economy (Room 3)
Chair: Juan Contreras, Congressional Budget Office
Household Level Consumption Responses to Oil Shocks
• Juan Contreras, Congressional Budget Office
Discussant: Lina Walker, The Brookings Institution
Effects of Gasoline Prices on Driving Behavior and Vehicle Markets
• David Austin, Congressional Budget Office
Discussant: Michael Morris, Energy Information Administration
Spatial Development and Energy Consumption
• Elena Safirova, Resources for the Future
• Sébastien Houde, Resources for the Future
• Winston Harrington, Resources for the Future
Discussant: David Austin, Congressional Budget Office
Retirement and Insurance in Microsimulation Models (Room 4)
Chair: Karen Smith, Center for Retirement Research at Boston College
• John Sabelhaus, Investment Company Institute
• Peter J. Brady, Investment Company Institute
• Barbara Butrica, Urban Institute
• Karen Smith, Urban Institute
• Eric Toder, Urban Institute
The Disappearing Defined Benefit Pension and Its Potential Impact on the Retirement Incomes of Boomers (Slides)
• Barbara Butrica, The Urban Institute
• Karen Smith, The Urban Institute
• Eric Toder, The Urban Institute
• Howard Iams, Social Security Administration
Discussant: Frank Sammartino, Congressional Budget Office
Gillian Hunter, U.S. Department of the Treasury
12:00-12:45 Luncheon Address
Jason Furman, The Brookings Institution
“The 2009 Agenda: Opportunities and Challenges”
1:00-2:30 PM Concurrent Research Sessions
The Components and Causes of Rising Health Care Costs (Room 1)
Chair: Ana Aizcorbe, Bureau of Economic Analysis
The Effects of Health Insurance Prices on the Cost of Living Index - The Shadow Price of Worry.
• Ralph Bradley, Bureau of Labor Statistics
Will the Slowdown in U.S. Health Cost Growth Continue? A Factor Market Perspective
• John Sabelhaus, Investment Company Institute
Individual and Shared Accountability Approaches to Physician Payment Reform
• Jackson Williams, AARP
Discussant: Anne Hall, Federal Reserve Board of Governors
Fiscal, Political and Labor Market Impacts of Immigration (Room 2)
Chair: Rakesh Kochhar, Pew Hispanic Center
The Fiscal Impact of Immigration
• Melissa Merrell, Congressional Budget Office
The Labor Market Effects of Immigration
• Diana Furchtgott-Roth, Hudson Institute
Latinos in the 2008 Elections
• Susan Minushkin, Pew Hispanic Center
Discussant: Angela Kelley, American Immigration Law Foundation
Hedging Retirement Risks (Room 3)
Chair: Janet McCubbin, AARP Public Policy Institute
Retiree Health Care: Implications of the New Auto Industry VEBAs
• Ellen O’Brien, AARP Public Policy Institute
Mortgage Refinancing and Consumption of Housing Equity Among Baby Boomers
• John R. Gist, AARP Public Policy Institute
• Carlos Figueiredo, AARP Public Policy Institute
Reverse Mortgages: Trends and Emerging Issues
• Donald Redfoot, AARP Public Policy Institute
• Bronwyn Belling, AARP Foundation
Discussant: Peter Brady, Investment Company Institute
U.S. Tax Policy (Room 4)
Chair: Ithai Lurie, U.S. Department of the Treasury
Sources of the Growth and Decline in Individual Income Tax Revenues, 1994 to 2004
• Kurt Seibert, Congressional Budget Office
Discussant: Eric Toder, Urban Institute
The Effect of State and Local Tax Policy on Entrepreneurship: Evidence from a Decomposition of taxes
• Donald Marples, Congressional Research Service
Discussant: Kevin Moore, Federal Reserve Board of Governors
The Effect of Health Insurance Premium Subsidies on Entry into and Exit from Self-Employment
• Ithai Lurie, U.S. Department of the Treasury
• Bradley T. Heim, U.S. Department of the Treasury
Discussant: Kevin Moore, Federal Reserve Board of Governors
Disability Insurance (Room 5)
Chair: Julie Topoleski, Congressional Budget Office
New Estimates on SSDI Beneficiaries’ Health Insurance Coverage During the 24 Month Medicare Waiting Period
• Robert Weathers, Social Security Administration
• Anne DeCesaro, Social Security Administration
Modeling Case Management in Social Security’s Disability Program
• Daniel Zabronsky, Social Security Administration
• John Larson, Global Insight Inc
• Divya Guru Rajan, Global Insight Inc
• Su Liu, Mathematica Policy Research
• Robert Weathers, Social Security Administration
• Kristin Andrews, Mathematica Policy Research
Discussant: Julie Topoleski, Congressional Budget Office
2:30-3:00 PM: Coffee Break
3:00-4:30 PM Concurrent Research Sessions
Measuring the Cost of Illness (Room 1)
Chair: Jack Triplett
• Tami Mark, Thomson Healthcare
• Katie Levit, Thomson Healthcare
National Health Expenditures by Medical Condition, Annual Estimates: 1996 – 2005
• Charlie Roehrig, Altarum Institute
• George Miller, Altarum Institute
• Craig Lake, Altarum Institute
Measuring the Cost of Illness: Episode-based estimates for HMO patients
• Ana Aizcorbe, Bureau of Economic Analysis
• Nicole Nestoriak, Bureau of Labor Statistics
Discussant: Louise Sheiner, Federal Reserve Board of Governors
Housing (Room 2)
Chair: Joseph Nichols, Federal Reserve Board of Governors
Housing, Health, and Annuities
• Thomas Davidoff, University of California Berkeley
Discussant: Michael Hollar, U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development
Housing Over the Life-Cycle: A Structural Estimation
• Rui Yao, Baruch College
• Wenli Li, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia
Discussant: Juan Contreras, Congressional Budget Office
• Joseph Nichols, Federal Reserve Board of Governors
Discussant: TBA
• Juan Contreras, Congressional Budget Office
Discussant: Thomas Davidoff, University of California Berkeley
Wealth and Savings(Room 3)
Chair: Michael Palombo, Federal Reserve Board of Governors
Economic Depreciation and Retirement of Canadian Assets: A Comprehensive Empirical Study
• Andre Patry, Department of Finance, Canada
The Trajectory of Wealth in Retirement
• Michael Palombo, Federal Reserve Board of Governors
• Paul Smith, Federal Reserve Board of Governors
• David Love, Williamn College
Using Panel Data to Assess the Effectiveness of the Saver’s Credit (Paper)
• Peter J. Brady, Investment Company Institute
• Kathleen A. Toma, U.S. Department of the Treasury
Discussant: Joyce Manchester, Congressional Budget Office
Climate Change (Room 4)
Chair: Robert Shackelton
Insights from EPA's Analyses of Current Climate Change Legislation
• Francisco de la Chesnaye, Environmental Protection Agency
Containing the Cost of a Cap-and-Trade Program for Carbon Dioxide Emissions
• Terry Dinan, Congressional Budget Office
Industry Level Analysis: Impacts and Policy Options
• Richard Morgenstern, Resources for the Future
Discussant: Robert Shackleton, Congressional Budget Office
STEM Workforce (Room 5)
Chair: Hal Salzman, The Urban Institute
• Mark Regets, National Science Foundation
Higher Education: Federal Science, Technology, Engineering, and Mathematics Programs and Related Trends
• Bryon Gordon, U.S. Government Accountability Office
Third Generation Globalization: The Transformation of Science and Engineering, and International Migration
• Lindsay Lowell, Georgetown University
• Leonard Lynn, Case Western Reserve University
• Hal Salzman, The Urban Institute
Discussant: Myles Boylan, National Science
Foundation
Robert Lerman, American University &
Urban Institute
4:30 - 6:30 PM Cocktail Reception Hosted by SGE
Capitol City Brewing Company
2 Massachusetts Ave., NE
Mezzanine level