The Slowdown in Medicare Spending Growth: What Does it Mean?
CBO and the CMS Actuaries have been surprised and puzzled by recent
slowdowns in spending growth in the Medicare program. In this
presentation, Dr. White will quantify the magnitude of the slowdown,
assess possible explanations, and put the slowdown in a larger
context. The Medicare slowdown could be a shortlived fluke, or it
could signal the need for a rethinking of some core assumptions. Dr.
White will identify the key assumptions that underlie Medicare
spending projections, and describe why they might need to updated.
Chapin D. White, Ph.D., is a senior health researcher at the Center
for Studying Health System Change (HSC). He has focused on
microsimulation modeling of health reform, long-term trends and
geographic variation in health spending, medical malpractice,
nonprofit hospitals, and Medicare payment policy. At HSC, he is
focusing on policy analyses relating to the implementation of health
reform and original research quantifying the likely impacts of health
reform. White was formerly a principal analyst at the Congressional
Budget Office, a post-doctoral fellow at the National Bureau of
Economic Research, a consultant to the Medicare Payment Advisory
Commission and an analyst at Abt Associates. White earned his
doctorate in health policy from Harvard University, a master’s degree
in public policy from Harvard’s Kennedy School of Government and a
bachelor’s degree in social anthropology, cum laude, from Harvard.